Montserrat Volcano Observatory, Montserrat, West Indies

Scientific Report 93
This report covers the month of June 1998


Summary

Activity was at a low level throughout the month of June. The largest signals recorded on the seismic network corresponded to mudflows. A moderate size pyroclastic flow occurred on 30 June and sent an ash cloud drifting westwards over Plymouth.

Visual Observations

Activity has generally been at a low level during this reporting period. A clear view of the dome from Jack Boy Hill on 16 June showed that there had been no obvious changes to the dome morphology since it was last seen clearly on 14 May.

A moderate size pyroclastic flow occurred on 30 June and was observed to travel down the Tar River valley. Ash from this event drifted westwards at low altitude over Plymouth. A later observation flight confirmed that a new thin flow lobe had been deposited on the north side of the Tar River valley and reached as far as the Tar River estate house. There were also some new deposits in the upper reaches of the White River valley.

The main phenomena observed during this reporting period were mudflows. Substantial events were recorded by the seismic network on 3, 4, 9, 11, 15, 16, 18, and 21 June. Detailed observations were made of the mudflows on 3, 15, 16 and 21 June. The observations are summarised in Table 1. The mudflows are actually hyper-concentrated stream flows, although when the start of an event is observed, the initial pulse consists of more viscous concentrated mud with a larger amount of debris.

Table 1. Summary of observational data recorded for mudflows at Belham Bridge, June 1998.

Note:
1: time is start of observations at Belham Bridge.
2: signal height is measured on helicorder records at Lees Yard seismic station

Date		Time1 at start	Signal height2/mm	Max flow rate m3/s	Max temp/degrees C	Rainfall intensity
/mm/h	
3-Jun-98	19:40		49			56.3			~45			6.2
15-Jun-98	10:45		50			282.3			~30			>4.1
16-Jun-98	14:43		24			50.3			28.4			-
21-Jun-98	06:42		38			19.2			28.3			-

The mudflow on 3 June was observed to be steaming although measurements of temperature were not taken. The peak of the event on 15 June was not observed but flow rates were estimated from the height to which water left marks on trees, the width of the channel and using the maximum velocity from 3 June. Water from the peak flood on 15 June reached over the Belham Bridge as evidenced by pumices on the roadway and small pumice fragments on the top of the central pillar. The flood also travelled over the road along the north side of the golf course. Velocity data from the events on 16 and 21 June show a rapid acceleration at the beginning of the mudflow and also suggest that there are at least three pulses of flow, as material from separate tributaries is added to the main river course.

Seismicity

The largest seismic signals in this period were those associated with mud flows on the flanks of the volcano - the most energetic of these clipped the nearest stations for tens of minutes. Qualitatively the amplitude and duration of the signals recorded corresponded to estimates of flow volume made by observers.

Seismicity was otherwise generally low for the reporting period with intervals of scattered volcano-tectonic earthquakes alternating with intervals of almost complete quiet. An exception to this was the swarm on 4th-5th June. This swarm consisted of many small signals, most of which did not trigger the networks.

Table 2. Earthquake types

These earthquake counts are of events that triggered the broadband network's event recording system between 00:00 and 00:00 each day (local time).

Date		VT	Hybrid		LP	Dome RF	
01 June 98	4	0		0	0		
02 June 98	5	1		0	1		
03 June 98	5	0		0	3		
04 June 98	19	2		0	12		
05 June 98	34	0		0	2		
06 June 98	2	0		0	2		
07 June 98	2	1		0	0		
08 June 98	2	0		0	2		
09 June 98	3	0		1	1		
10 June 98	5	1		0	3		
11 June 98	4	0		1	1		
12 June 98	3	0		0	1		
13 June 98	5	0		0	2		
14 June 98	12	0		1	4		
15 June 98	5	0		0	1		
16 June 98	0	0		0	3		
17 June 98	5	0		1	2		
18 June 98	10	0		0	1		
19 June 98	2	0		0	2		
20 June 98	3	0		0	1		
21 June 98	4	0		1	2		
22 June 98	6	0		0	3		
23 June 98	2	0		0	4		
24 June 98	1	0		0	2		
25 June 98	12	0		0	0		
26 June 98	0	0		0	2		
27 June 98	1	0		0	1		
28 June 98	1	0		0	1		
29 June 98	2	0		0	1		
30 June 98	2	0		0	11		

Table 3. Swarms

Start			Duration	Hybrid	LP	VT
04 June 98, 20:06	8.5		1	0	40

Ground Deformation

GPS occupations of most of the sites around the volcano and in the north of the island were made by MVO and the University of Puerto Rico during this reporting interval. The movement of sites on the volcano has reduced dramatically. The last three occupations of Whites (June 9, May 16 and April 15) reproduced site positions lying within 2mm in easting, 1mm in northing and 3mm in height. The last six occupations of Windy Hill (June 9, May 3, April 15, March 4, January 15 and December 18 1997) have shown site positions lying within 6 mm in easting, 8 mm in northing and 39 mm in height. A significant departure occurred at the Broderick's site of 4 cm to the north between mid-November 1997 and mid-January 1998. This is the period associated with rapid growth of the dome in the Galway's region close to the Galway's site. It appears to be stable now and the last occupations show site positions plotting within a few mm of one another. A site in Galway's Estate was re-established and we hope to occupy this site more often to extend coverage of the volcano.

Volume Measurements

Unfavourable weather conditions did not allow an accurate GPS/Binocular survey of the summit area and upper flanks of the whole dome complex to be undertaken. This will be attempted when an opportunity arises.

Environmental Monitoring

Results from analyses of sulphur dioxide diffusion tubes were received during this period. The results are shown in Table 4. Results suggest that sulphur dioxide was still being derived from the dome at significant levels, despite the lack of growth. In general there has been a slight increase in sulphur dioxide levels measured by the diffusion tubes since the beginning of the eruption. A blue SO2 haze continued all month and has been easily visible from MVO (south) where it has been seen to extend over Gages, Chances and Galway's Wall.

Table 4. Sulphur dioxide diffusion tube results, 19 May to 29 June 1998.
Levels in ppb.

		19 May - 1 June 98	1 - 13 June 98	13 - 29 June 98	
Police HQ, Plymouth	21.50			22.75		29.10	
St. George's Hill	6.85			12.65		7.80	
Weekes			7.05			5.70		6.75	
MVO south		4.40			5.00		3.20	
Lawyers			2.60			3.80		8.90	

Air Quality Monitoring

The air quality monitoring programme during this period involved 5 permanent monitoring sites. These were located at:

  1. Salem (Old Towne); the Dust Trak is on the veranda of the old Montserrat Volcano Observatory (MVOsouth). Wind direction and strength were also noted here.
  2. Old Road Bay, Old Towne; the Dust Trak is on the veranda of a villa.
  3. Salem; the Dust Trak is on the veranda of a villa opposite the old Arrows store.
  4. Woodlands, Mango Drive; the Dust Trak is on the veranda of a villa.
  5. St. John's, Mongo Hill; the Dust Trak is on the third floor of the MVO building with a sampling tube attached and leading out of the window.

Results are shown in Table 5.

Table 5. PM10 as measured by Dust Trak instruments (concentration in microgramme/m3).

These values are approximate 24 hr averages of the PM10 concentration. Aerosol values measured at each of the monitoring sites are accompanied by a note on the level of volcanic activity (VA) and prevailing weather conditions. *: power cut, -: incorrect calibration

Date		1	2	3	4	5	VA	Wind (*)		Rain
1 June 98	17	-	16	14	10	Low	100/light breeze	Heavy 08:00 downpour
2 June 98	23	-	18	24	22	Low	100/breezy		Heavy midday downpour
3 June 98	16	-	15	19	9	Low	170/still/gentle breeze	Torrential downpour from 16:00 to 19:00: medium-sized mudflow down Belham Valley with light associated ash fallout.
4 June 98	21	-	19	18	9	Low	210/very gentle breeze	None
5 June 98	13	-	24	19	11	Low	135/gentle breeze	Torrential downpour from 19:00 to 20:00: small mudflow down Belham Valley.
6 June 98	31	-	30	22	19	Low	110/gentle breeze	None
7 June 98	*	-	51	*	16	Low	110/strong breeze	None
8 June 98	16	-	21	16	9	Low	090/strong breeze	None
9 June 98	10	-	15	13	8	Low	110/light breeze,gusty	Brief showers during day
10 June 98	15	-	21	13	11	Low	130/strong breeze,gusty	Brief showers overnight
11 June 98	13	-	18	14	-	Low	100/mod, gusting strong	Heavy voernight showers
12 June 98	23	-	38	30	-	Low	135/moderate, gusting strong	Few overnight showers
13 June 98	29	-	46	38	-	Low	120/gentle breeze	None
14 June 98	17	-	24	22	30	Low	120/still/light wind	None
15 June 98	26	-	-	-	-	Low	120/moderate breeze	Torrential downpour all morning, mudflows down Belham Valley.
16 June 98	6	-	21	16	17	Low	120/gentle breeze	Torrential downpour from 14:00 to 15:30.
17 June 98	31	-	49	38	56	Low/raised 115 - light breeze, strengthening all day	None
18 June 98	30	-	41	32	23	Low	115/light breeze	Brief overnight shower
19 June 98	21	-	34	26	10	Low	125/moderate breeze, gusting strong	Brief shower 06:00
20 June 98	31	-	65	58	50	Raised	110/moderate breeze, gusting strong	Brief shower 06:00
21 June 98	19	-	43	-	8	Low	120/gentle breeze, strengthening all day 05:00 to 06:00 downpour, medium-sized mudflow down Belham Valley.
22 June 98	15	-	38	21	19	Low	100/moderate breeze	Short overnight showers
23 June 98	13	-	33	-	40	Low	100/gentle breeze	None
24 June 98	8	12	15	22	8	Low	105/gentle breeze	None
25 June 98	8	19	18	15	16	Low	110/moderate breeze	None
26 June 98	18	40	41	34	41	Low	110/moderate breeze	None
27 June 98	15	31	30	25	-	Low	110/moderate breeze	Brief 07:00 shower
28 June 98	46	102	133	76	79	V. high	120/moderate breeze	Showers overnight
29 June 98	63	147	185	108	118	V. high 105/moderate breeze	Showers overnight
30 June 98	51	114	144	80	85	V. high 120/moderate breeze	None

Low volcanic activity has kept aerosol levels low, with heavy downpours and showers maintaining the low dust levels. Aerosol levels generally increase quickly again after rain as a result of the rapid drying out of the ash and the moderate winds which re-suspend particulate matter into the air. The ashfall associated with the mudflow down the Belham Valley on 3rd June was a result of water contacting hot pyroclastic flow deposits producing collapse of deposits into stream flow and possibly generating small phreatic explosions. The ash was then carried downwind and recorded by scientists at the Belham Bridge; there was no affect on aerosol levels on 4th June. Dust levels were 'very high' on 28th, 29th and 30th June as a result of dust from the Sahara being blown over the island.

24 Hour averages:
<50 microgramme/m3	Low
50-100 microgramme/m3	Raised
100-300 microgramme/m3	Very high
>300 microgramme/m3	Alert

MVO Staff Changes

Arrivals:
Dr. Ricky Herd (MVO) [from a period of fieldwork in St. Vincent]
Dr. Keith Rowley
Christian Antenor-Habazac (Guadeloupe Volcano Observatory)

Departures:
Prof. Steve Sparks (Bristol University)
Dr. Ricky Herd (MVO) [on leave]
Dr. J-C Komorowski (Guadeloupe Volcano Observatory)
Desmond Seupersad (Seismic Research Unit, Trinidad)

Visitors:
John Bennett (British Geological Survey)
Alison Searl (Institute of Occupational Medicine)
Andy Nicholl (Institute of Occupational Medicine)


Montserrat Volcano Observatory